Hi, So, is it ok to just add "Asia/Beijing" into the database along with "Asia/Shanghai"? So that people can choose whatever they want. Regards James Su On 4/29/06, Paul Eggert <eggert@cs.ucla.edu> wrote:
Ken Pizzini <tz.@explicate.org> writes:
the populations do seem to have converged significantly over the 15 or so years since the Asia/Shanghai entry was created, and the trend lines strongly suggest that if Beijing has not yet overtaken Shanghai as the largest city in China, it is very likely to do so soon.
That depends on whose estimates one uses, and what one means by "soon". If we take estimates recently published by Chinese news agencies for the end of 2005, for example, Shanghai had 17.78 million people with a 2.030% annual growth rate since 2000 <http://english.sina.com/china/1/2006/0406/72038.html>, whereas Beijing had 15.36 million people with a 2.135% annual growth rate in the same period <http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2006-04/20/content_4451085.htm>, so at current rates it will take about 142 years for Beijing's population to surpass Shanghai, at which point both cities will have populations of about 309 million people.
To put it mildly, I don't have a lot of faith in these estimates, but until this thing settles out with a clear winner there's no rush. There is an advantage of keeping the Zone names stable, which our other correspondents have reminded us of periodically. I'd rather not get into the business of discussing zone names changes based on guesswork forecasts of population growth. (It's hard enough just keeping track of the clocks. :-)