Re: [tz] No leap second on 2021-12-31

What’s interesting is that the Earth is undergoing an odd span of time during which it has been spinning a bit faster instead of slowing down. If this keeps up, not only will it be a while until we see another leap second, but in a few years we might experience the first negative leap second, where a second is dropped from the end of the last minute just before 00:00 UTC.
Per IERS, Bulletin C 62 (2021-07-05) https://hpiers.obspm.fr/iers/bul/bulc/bulletinc.62
?and forwarded below.
A patch updating leap-seconds.list from NIST is attached, and is installed in the development repository.
-- Tim Parenti

Kerry Shetline via tz <tz@iana.org> wrote:
What’s interesting is that the Earth is undergoing an odd span of time during which it has been spinning a bit faster instead of slowing down. If this keeps up, not only will it be a while until we see another leap second, but in a few years we might experience the first negative leap second, where a second is dropped from the end of the last minute just before 00:00 UTC.
Yes, it's super weird :-) I have a program that uses the formula from IERS Bulletin A to guess when the next leap second might happen and what direction it will be. Typically (over the last 10 years) the length of day (ignoring seasonal variation) has been about 1ms longer than 24*60*60 seconds. Five years ago (June 2016) the LoD peaked at nearly 1.5ms extra; at the moment it is about 0.25ms too short. If this continues, the next leap second will be a negative leap second at the end of 2028. https://github.com/fanf2/bulletin-a Bulletin D announces the value of DUT1 to be used in radio time signals; the most recent one at the end of last month was the first ever to increase DUT1 (from -0.2s to -0.1s). Leap seconds are scheduled to prevent DUT1 getting near +/- 1. Tony. -- f.anthony.n.finch <dot@dotat.at> https://dotat.at/ Great Orme Head to the Mull of Galloway: West or northwest 3 to 5, backing west or southwest, 4 to 6, occasionally 7 later. Smooth becoming slight, occasionally moderate later. Rain or thundery showers. Good, occasionally poor.

On 7/23/21 10:41 AM, Kerry Shetline via tz wrote:
in a few years we might experience the first negative leap second
If that happens, I expect that a lot of software won't be ready for it. In the interest of preventing time software bugs, I'm attaching a copy of a file that is like tzcode's leap-seconds.list copied from NIST, except that it contains several negative leap seconds. It's a bit of an extreme case. I used this file to test tzcode, and found one (verrry unlikely) tzcode bug that I plan to fix soon. Others are welcome to do further tzcode testing. You might want to give the attached file a try with your own software.
participants (3)
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Kerry Shetline
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Paul Eggert
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Tony Finch